|
9 Lesson Option Course
Lesson 4- Own Your Own Casino
Casinos have the odds stacked in
their favor. Some people get lucky and win more
than they lose, but casinos know that over the
long term they will make money. That's their edge.
Our edge is the same. As option sellers we can
stack the odds in our favor. How does 80% probability
of success sound to you? I'll show you how.
I view myself as a casino owner. Well, maybe
not the owner because I don't own the stock exchange.
But I do play the role of the "house".
With close to 80% of all options expiring worthless,
option buyers are basically gamblers looking to
buy a lottery ticket. And I don't mind selling
it to them.
Now keep in mind, that sophisticated traders
also use options to protect their other investments
but we can sell options to these guys too. That's
why I say you can own a casino.
What I like to do is sell out of the money
options. There are three types of options
when it comes to price. In the Money, At the Money,
and Out of the Money. An example will help clarify
things.
IBM is at $50. An At the Money Call option would
be the one with the $50 strike price because that
is where IBM is right now. If IBM expires today,
this option would be the closest to making money.
All of the Call options with strike prices above
$50 are Out of the Money. So the 55, 60, 65, 75,
and 100 are all out of the money. These have no
value except for time value (because they have
time before they expire).
All of the Call options below $50 are said to
be In the Money. Such as the 45, 40, 35, etc.
If IBM expired today, the people owning these
options would exercise them to buy IBM stock at
lower than market price.
In the last lesson, I mention the Iron Condor
trade. With the Iron Condor we sell options that
are way out of the money. I use my statistics
and probability calculations to decide exactly
which options I want to sell. Because the options
we sell are Out of the Money we receive less premium
(money) for selling these options because the
risk is less. You can also sell At the Money and
In the Money options for a lot more money, but
you would also lose a lot more often. Selling
Out of the Money is the way to go in most cases.
The people who buy the options I write are gambling
that IBM will get to the strike price I sold.
If it does, good for them, I will just adjust
my trade to protect my profit. It if doesn't I
keep the entire amount I was paid for the option.
Choosing the right option to sell is the
tricky part of option selling. Sell the
wrong one and you could lose a bundle. Anyone
can understand how options work and start selling
them, but knowing which ones to sell and then
how to adjust the trade when it goes against you
is what I help you with. Since I have my own money
doing the same trades I advise you to do, I stay
on top of things and let you know as soon as any
trade is in trouble and what to do about it. That's
one of the reasons my members pay me: to watch
over their trades so they don't have to.
It's great to have someone on your team that
knows what he is doing in good and bad markets.
When I first started this, I didn't know what
I was doing. I lost over $5,000 on just one trade
selling APPL options. If I had someone with me
whose shoulder I could watch over or bounce trading
ideas off of, I would not have lost so much money.
At first I thought I just got unlucky, so I sold
options on FXI, but then lost another $6,000.
I lost on other trades too, until I figured out
what I was doing wrong. It was a very expensive
education. Putting on the trades is the easy part.
Adjusting the trade when it is in trouble is where
the professional traders separate themselves from
the amateurs.
I have seen an amateur trader
and a professional trade put on the same exact
trade on the same day, but in the end, the amateur
trader lost money on the trade while the professional
made money.
In our next lesson I will show you how you can
do the trades I do in just 15 minutes a day and
I go through I real life trade that we made.
Let's
Go to Lesson 5
|